Small Cap Value – Q1 2026 Commentary
Categorised in: Commentaries, Q1 2026, Small Cap Value Commentaries
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Equity market performance was mixed during the 1st quarter of 2026. The Russell 2000® Value (R2V) Index rose 4.96% while the Russell 2000® Growth (R2G) Index declined 2.81%. Small caps outperformed large caps over the three-month period, with the Russell 2000® Index up 0.89%, compared to the Russell 1000® Index down 4.18%. The Kennedy Capital Small Cap Value (SCV) composite returned 6.38% (net of fees) during the quarter, outperforming the R2V by 1.43%. For the rolling 12-month period, the SCV composite returned 18.35% (net of fees), compared to the R2V return of 28.09%, underperforming by 9.74%. Additional performance information included in the table below.
Data as of 3/31/2026 Within the SCV composite, stock selection in the Information Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Industrial sectors were the biggest drivers of positive relative returns (vs the R2V). These sectors added 98, 95, and 73 basis points, respectively, to 1st quarter relative performance. On the downside, Energy, Real Estate, and Consumer Staples were the worst performing sectors on a relative basis. These sectors negatively impacted 1st quarter relative returns by 74, 44, and 16 basis points, respectively. Small Cap markets started off strong in the first two months of 2026, with R2V up 8.92% through February. Cyclical sectors such as Industrials and Materials outperformed during this period as broader industrial activity started to show signs of acceleration, as evidenced by the ISM Index reading surpassing 50 (expansionary territory) in January and February. The Information Technology sector also outperformed, driven by strong performance from Semiconductor and hardware stocks. These stocks are benefiting from elevated capex spending to support the build-out of AI data center infrastructure. The market sold off sharply in March (R2V down 3.64%) amidst the geopolitical tensions involving Iran and resulting oil shock. Oil prices rose over $40/barrel from the January lows and reached the highest levels since June of 2022. Other commodities – metals, gasoline, fertilizer, etc. – are also facing upward pressure due to the ongoing conflict. The energy sector materially outperformed within the R2V during the month of March, rising +8.58%. Consumer Discretionary and Industrial stocks underperformed in March on fears that rising inflationary pressures – caused by the spike in commodity prices – could lead to weaker consumer spending and softening industrial activity. We have yet to see material evidence of a slowdown in the economic data, but it is something we continue to monitor. While the recent escalation in the Middle East has added to near-term uncertainty, it does not alter our long-term opportunity set. We remain focused on our process—identifying quality businesses at discounted valuations and allowing fundamentals and compounding to drive outcomes over time, rather than reacting to short-term noise. In our experience, these environments often present some of the most attractive entry points for patient capital. We welcome the opportunity to discuss any questions or concerns you may have, and we thank you for the opportunity you have given us to manage your account. Sincerely, |
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Frank Latuda, Jr., CFA® (CIO) & McAfee Burke, CFA® Portfolio Managers |
Ithiel Turrado, CFA® Assistant Portfolio Manager |
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Important Disclosures Kennedy Capital Management LLC (“KCM”) is a Delaware limited liability company headquartered in Missouri. KCM is registered as an investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. Registration with the SEC does not imply any level of skill or training. Clients of the Firm include U.S. corporations, pension and profit sharing funds, colleges and universities, trusts, not-for-profit organizations, foundations, and individuals. KCM claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®). GIPS® is a registered trademark of CFA Institute. CFA Institute does not endorse or promote this organization, nor does it warrant the accuracy or quality of the content contained herein. 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Composite specific data provided within this presentation has been calculated from accounts that are discretionary as defined in this paragraph. The assets shown are derived only from discretionary accounts. Non-discretionary accounts, as defined by KCM, are accounts that are not included in the composite due to one or any combination of the following criteria: there were significant cash inflows or outflows within the account; the account’s asset level did not meet the minimum requirement to remain in the composite; the account assets are managed by others using our non-discretionary model. The temporary removal of such an account occurs at the beginning of the month and the account re-enters the composite the month after the criteria has been met. Performance returns are presented gross and net of investment advisory fees and include the reinvestment of all income. 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The Russell 2000® Growth Index measures the performance of the small-cap growth segment of the U.S. equity universe. It includes those Russell 2000® companies with relatively higher price-to-book ratios, higher I/B/E/S forecast medium term (2 year) growth and higher sales per share historical growth (5 year). The Russell 2000® Growth Index is constructed to provide comprehensive and unbiased barometer for the small-cap growth segment. The Index is completely reconstituted annually to ensure new and growing equities are included and that the represented companies continue to reflect growth characteristics. The Russell 2000® Value Index is used as the benchmark. The Index is unmanaged and represents total returns including reinvestment of dividends. The benchmark is used for comparative purposes only and generally reflects the comparable risk or investment style of the Firm’s strategy. The investment portfolios underlying the Index are different from the investments in the portfolios managed by the Firm. Certain accounts may also use other benchmarks not listed in the GIPS composite report. The Verification and Performance Examination Report does not cover the benchmark returns included in the GIPS composite report. Investors cannot invest directly in an Index. The Russell 1000® Index measures the performance of the large-cap segment of the US equity universe. It is a subset of the Russell 3000® Index and includes approximately 1,000 of the largest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership. The Russell 1000 represents approximately 93% of the US market. The Russell 1000® Index is constructed to provide a comprehensive and unbiased barometer for the large-cap segment and is completely reconstituted annually to ensure new and growing equities are included. The S&P 500® is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities. According to our Annual Survey of Assets, an estimated USD 13.5 trillion is indexed or benchmarked to the index, with indexed assets comprising approximately USD 5.4 trillion of this total (as of Dec. 31, 2020). The index includes 500 leading companies and covers approximately 80% of available market capitalization. |
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