Mid Cap Value – Q3 2025 Commentary

Equity markets rose sharply during the 3rd quarter of 2025, with the Russell Midcap® Value (RMV) Index up 6.18%.  Small cap equities significantly outperformed large caps during the quarter, with the Russell 2000® rising 12.39% compared to the Russell 1000® Index return of 7.99%. 

The Kennedy Capital Mid Cap Value (MCV) composite returned 2.67% (net of fees) during the quarter, trailing the RMV by 351 bps.  Additional performance information is included in the table below.

Data as of 9/30/2025

Within the MCV composite, stock selection in Financials and Energy sectors were the largest negative contributors to returns (vs. the RMV).  These sectors detracted 166 and 74 basis points, respectively, from 3^rd quarter relative performance.  On the positive side, stock selection in the Consumer Staples and Real Estate sectors were additive to relative performance.  These sectors aided 3^rd quarter relative returns by 76 and 42 basis points, respectively.

Market strength during the quarter was underpinned by steady economic activity and the Federal Reserve’s decision to reduce the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (to 4.00 – 4.25%) during its September meeting.  This was the first rate cut since December of 2024 and was implemented in response to signs of slowing employment and moderating inflation.  The Fed signaled the potential for further rate cuts before the end of 2025 if economic conditions warrant.  

The market backdrop over the last several months has been challenging for bottom-up fundamental investors.  In our view, broad-based themes (Crypto, nuclear, artificial intelligence, etc.), not underlying corporate fundamentals, have been the predominate driver of small and mid cap equity returns of late.  Consistent with our longstanding philosophy, our strategy will typically lag the Index during more speculative periods, but has historically outperformed as fundamentals and valuation come back into focus.  

We certainly recognize the transformation underway across technology, industrial, and energy industries, driven by advances in artificial intelligence. Our portfolio is undoubtedly benefiting from this trend through ownership of several businesses that participate in the data center or power-oriented end markets.  At the same time, relative performance has suffered from a combination of two related factors:  1) a lack of exposure to a handful of RMV constituents that are viewed as key beneficiaries of the AI boom and, 2)  maintaining longstanding holdings in high quality businesses where the market has rapidly priced in nascent risks to long term business models associated with the disruptive force that is AI.  

We continually evaluate our current and potential holdings under a variety of scenarios and have modestly repositioned the portfolio during the first nine months of the year to manage risk and capitalize on opportunities in the years ahead.  We’ve learned through navigating economic and technology cycles that if we stay patient and stick to our knitting – finding what we see as high quality businesses with durable business models at attractive prices – we have been able to generate above average returns in the long run.  We intend to maintain this approach going forward. 

During periods of speculative excess in portions of the market, patience and discipline are our greatest  strategies.  We know from experience that periods of volatility have historically offered some of the most compelling long-term investment opportunities for Kennedy.  At Kennedy, we stay grounded in fundamentals—evaluating each business on its merits and maintaining a disciplined, long-term perspective focused on multi-year value creation. 

We appreciate your continued trust and partnership, and welcome any opportunity to address your questions as we navigate the road ahead.

Sincerely,

Gary Kauppila, CFA^®**

Portfolio Manager

Christian McDonald, CFA^®*

Portfolio Manager

Important Disclosures

*Effective 9/1/2025:  Christian McDonald, CFA®, has been named Portfolio Manager.

**Effective 10/1/2025:  Gary Kauppila, CFA®, Portfolio Manager, has retired from Kennedy Capital.

Kennedy Capital Management LLC (“KCM”) is a Delaware limited liability company headquartered in Missouri.  KCM is registered as an investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. Registration with the SEC does not imply any level of skill or training. Clients of the Firm include U.S. corporations, pension and profit sharing funds, colleges and universities, trusts, not-for-profit organizations, foundations, and individuals. KCM claims compliance with the Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS®). GIPS® is a registered trademark of CFA Institute. CFA Institute does not endorse or promote this organization, nor does it warrant the accuracy or quality of the content contained herein. GIPS® are a set of standardized, industry-wide ethical principles that provide investment firms with guidance on calculating and reporting their investment results to prospective clients to ensure fair representation and full disclosure of an investment firm’s performance history.

 Although the statements of fact and data in this report have been obtained from, and are based upon, sources that the Firm believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee their accuracy, and any such information may be incomplete or condensed. All opinions included in this report constitute the Firm’s judgment as of the date of this report and are subject to change without notice. This report is for informational purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. A complete list of all securities recommended by KCM in the preceding year, a fully compliant GIPS composite report, and the list of composite descriptions are available upon request from KCM at 10829 Olive Blvd., Suite 100. St. Louis, MO, 63141.

Investing in the stock market involves gains and losses and may not be suitable for all investors. Investing in equity securities is speculative and involves substantial risk.  Mid cap securities may involve more risk than larger-cap securities.  Investments concentrated in sector or specific industry may involve greater risk and volatility than more diversified investments.  

The Mid Cap Value Composite invests in US equity securities and ADRs with market capitalizations that are reflective of the Russell Midcap® Value Index.  The portfolio manager focuses on companies with a demonstrated ability to generate above-average returns on invested capital.  Within that universe, the manager seeks to identify undervalued companies with opportunities to reinvest cash flows at rates of return in excess of their cost of capital.  For comparison purposes the composite is measured against the Russell Midcap® Value Index.  The U.S. Dollar is the currency used to express performance.

Composite specific data provided within this presentation has been calculated from accounts that are discretionary as defined in this paragraph. The assets shown are derived only from discretionary accounts. Non-discretionary accounts, as defined by KCM, are accounts that are not included in the composite due to one or any combination of the following criteria: there were significant cash inflows or outflows within the account; the account’s asset level did not meet the minimum requirement to remain in the composite; the account assets are managed by others using our non-discretionary model. The temporary removal of such an account occurs at the beginning of the month and the account re-enters the composite the month after the criteria has been met.

Performance returns are presented gross and net of investment advisory fees and include the reinvestment of all income. Gross of fee returns reflect the deduction of transaction costs and custodian fees but do not reflect the deduction of investment advisory fees. Net of fee performance is calculated using gross returns less the actual applicable annual management fee applied monthly. Past performance is not indicative of future results. A client’s return will be reduced by the advisory fees as described in Form ADV Part 2A and other expenses incurred by the account. For example, an annual advisory fee of 1% compounded quarterly over 10 years will reduce a gross 14.44% annual return to a net 13.32% annual return. Form ADV Part 2A is available upon request.

The performance figures reported herein are unaudited, may be based upon information obtained via electronic data sources (”feeds”) and may be subject to change. Data feeds from many of KCM clients’ selected custodians are obtained through third party sources, and are used to compare custodial data to KCM’s client account records as frequently as daily. Monthly, KCM reviews clients’ account holdings along with cash and share quantities against the custodial statements. In some instances, variances may exist between final audited custodial information and the information KCM obtains via such data feeds. Generally, any such variances are researched and reconciled within thirty days of the period end.

The information provided should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. There is no assurance that any securities discussed herein will remain in a KCM portfolio at the time you receive this letter or that securities sold have not been repurchased. Allocations among industries, sectors and securities may vary and are subject to change without notice. Any securities discussed do not represent an account’s entire portfolio and, in the aggregate, may represent only a small percentage of an account’s portfolio holdings. It should not be assumed that any of the industry or sector allocation decisions mentioned, or securities transactions or holdings discussed were or will be profitable, or that the investment recommendations or decisions we make in the future will be profitable or will equal the investment performance of the securities discussed herein.

Sector Weightings are subject to change at any time.  Sectors are based on the Global Industry Classification Standard (“GICS”) classification scheme and are measured as a percentage of the total composite in terms of asset value as of the date indicated above.  Individual client portfolios may be different based on variations in security purchase price and date, and individual client restrictions. 

GICS was developed by and is the exclusive property and a service mark of Morgan Stanley Capital International, Inc. (”MSCI”) and Standard & Poor’s, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. (”S&P”) and is licensed for the use by KCM. Neither MSCI, S&P, nor any other party involved in making or compiling the GICS or any GICS classifications makes any express or implied warranties or representations with respect to such standard or classification (or the results thereof),and all such parties hereby expressly disclaim all warranties of originality, accuracy, completeness, merchantability, and fitness for a particular purpose with respect to any of such standard or classification. Without limiting any of the foregoing, in no event shall MSCI, S&P, any of their affiliates or any third party involved in making or compiling the GICS or any GICS classifications have any liability for any direct, indirect, special, punitive, consequential or any other damages (including lost profits) even if notified of the possibility of such damages.

Allocations to various assets classes change over time and deviate from any stated or targeted percentages of a total portfolio as a result of market conditions and reallocation decisions. Therefore, nothing herein reflects a static portfolio allocation that will remain the same or match stated target allocations of asset classes.

Russell Investment Group is the source and owner of the Russell Index data contained or reflected in this material and all trademarks and copyrights related thereto.  The presentation may contain confidential information and unauthorized use, disclosure, copying, dissemination or redistribution is strictly prohibited.  This is a presentation of Kennedy Capital Management.  Russell Investment Group is not responsible for the formatting or configuration of this material or for any inaccuracy in Kennedy Capital Management’s presentation thereof.   

The Russell Midcap® Value Index measures the performance of the mid-cap value segment of the U.S. equity universe. It includes those Russell Midcap® Index companies with relatively lower price-to-book ratios, lower I/B/E/S forecast medium term (2 year) growth and lower sales per share historical growth (5 year). The Russell Midcap® Value Index is constructed to provide a comprehensive and unbiased barometer of the mid-cap value market. The Index is completely reconstituted annually to ensure larger stocks do not distort the performance and characteristics of the true mid-cap value market.

The Russell Midcap® Value Index is used as the benchmark.  The Index is unmanaged and represents total returns including reinvestment of dividends.  The benchmark is used for comparative purposes only and generally reflects the comparable risk or investment style of the Firm’s strategy.  The investment portfolios underlying the Index are different from the investments in the portfolios managed by the Firm. Certain accounts may also use other benchmarks not listed in the GIPS composite report. The Verification and Performance Examination Report does not cover the benchmark returns included in the GIPS composite report.  Investors cannot invest directly in an Index.

The Russell 2000® Index measures the performance of the small-cap segment of the U.S. equity universe. The Russell 2000® Index is a subset of the Russell 3000® Index representing approximately 7% of the total market capitalization of that index, as of the most recent reconstitution. It includes approximately 2000 of the smallest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership. The Russell 2000® is constructed to provide a comprehensive and unbiased small-cap barometer and is completely reconstituted annually to ensure larger stocks do not distort the performance and characteristics of the true small-cap opportunity set.

The Russell 1000® Index measures the performance of the large-cap segment of the US equity universe. It is a subset of the Russell 3000® Index and includes approximately 1,000 of the largest securities based on a combination of their market cap and current index membership. The Russell 1000 represents approximately 93% of the US market. The Russell 1000® Index is constructed to provide a comprehensive and unbiased barometer for the large-cap segment and is completely reconstituted annually to ensure new and growing equities are included.

The S&P® 500 is widely regarded as the best single gauge of large-cap U.S. equities. According to our Annual Survey of Assets, an estimated USD 15.6 trillion is indexed or benchmarked to the index, with indexed assets comprising approximately USD 7.1 trillion of this total (as of Dec. 31, 2021). The index includes 500 leading companies and covers approximately 80% of available market capitalization.